ceremony/drills/0.4.1.md

# 0.4.1 — drill record

Two runs. The first, 2026-08-04 against release PR !190 head `9a229ee`,
**failed**: both doors were inoperable and the release could not publish at
all. The second, after #191 landed as `fda5657`, **passed**. Both are
recorded, because the first is why the second exists.

## Run 2 — against merged `main` `fda5657` (the one that counts)

Where: disposable private repo `heavy-duty/ceremony-drill-0.4.1-final`,
armed at `0.4.1-dev`, carrying the `docs/CONSUMERS.md` release caller, a
fragment-mode fixture, and — unlike run 1 — an **artifact hook** dropping two
deliberately awkward filenames, `drill asset.tgz` and `a&b.tgz`. Archived at
the end; the operator's delete is pending, and cleanup gates nothing.

Candidate ref: `cluade-reviewer-andresmgsl/ceremony@drill-main`, parent
`fda5657`, whose only extra commit rewrites both `CEREMONY_SELF_REF`
carriers to that SHA — `release.yml`'s self-checkout is hardcoded to
`heavy-duty/ceremony`, so only a SHA that resolves there can stand in for a
tag that does not exist yet. No `0.4.1` branch was created on
`heavy-duty/ceremony`.

| # | probe | run | result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | merge-door ceremony | 637 | ✅ exactly one release `0.4.1`; body is the version's own changelog section; tag and release on merge commit `4a83fa1b`; **main re-armed to `0.4.2-dev`**; both assets uploaded |
| 2 | mislabeled ordinary PR | 652 | ✅ green no-op in **7s** on merge commit `e71df4e3` — release count stayed **2**, no tag created |
| 3 | bare version, no `release` label | 638 | ✅ refused at `b091aff2` — release count stayed **1** |
| 4 | re-run of the completed ceremony | 654 | ✅ refused in **8s** on merge commit `82e7d11b` — release count stayed **2**, and tag `0.4.1` **stayed on `4a83fa1b`**, the original merge commit |
| 5 | tag door, matching tag | 639 | ✅ `0.5.0` published with its own section and both assets; **main VERSION untouched** |
| 6 | mismatched tag | 640 | ✅ `9.9.9` refused — release count stayed **2**; the tag exists, the release does not |

Probes 2 and 4 were run last, at 15:23–15:28Z, on the same consumer: it was
un-archived for them and archived again at the end. Nothing else about the
run changed — same candidate ref, same caller pin.

**Probe 4 diverges in mechanism, not in what it proves.** The 0.3.0 and 0.4.0
siblings re-ran the completed ceremony's workflow run (GitHub's "attempt 2").
Forgejo 8.0.3 exposes no run-rerun API — there are no `actions/runs/{id}`
routes in its swagger at all — so the ceremony was re-run by reproducing its
input instead: main re-armed to `0.4.1-dev` (setup run 653), then a second
`release`-labeled PR stamping bare `0.4.1` merged on top. That is the same
state the door refuses on, reached by a push rather than a re-trigger, and it
is stricter than the sibling shape in one way — it re-enters through
`facts` → `decide` rather than replaying a decided run.

Which refusal fired is measurable even without run logs. Replaying the
door's own inputs against the live consumer at `82e7d11b`:

```
facts: ver='0.4.1' base_ver='0.4.1-dev' released='' labeled='yes'
decide: ceremony=yes
```

So `decide` said **go** — a labeled bare transition is row 6 — and the stop
came from the merge door's own pre-publish assert, `release.yml:216-219`,
whose comment names this exact probe ("what makes a re-run of a completed
ceremony refuse instead of clobber"): the tag existed, so it refused before
`forge_tag_create` ever ran. The second net behind it is #191's own verb,
and it reads this consumer correctly:

```
forge_release_exists 0.4.1 -> yes    0.5.0 -> yes    9.9.9 -> no
```

`9.9.9` is the probe-6 receipt in the same breath: the tag exists, the
release does not.

Evidence for every probe here is the run conclusion plus the repository
state before and after — this instance serves no run logs (the API 404s on
every log route), so no probe's result is quoted from a log line.

End state, as observed when this was written: releases `0.4.1` and `0.5.0`
and nothing else; tags `0.4.1` on `4a83fa1b`, `0.5.0` and `9.9.9` on
`b091aff2`; the consumer's `main` left at bare `0.4.1` where probe 4 stopped
it, private and archived.

**The asset names survived intact**: `a&b.tgz` and `drill asset.tgz` both
appear under those exact names on both releases. Before #191's fix the space
made curl reject the URL outright and the `&` split the query — the failure
landing *after* the tag exists, mid-publish, which is the worst place this
door has.

## Run 1 — against `9a229ee`, before the fix (FAILED)

Recorded because the failure is the reason #191 exists — including its
deviations, which no later success retires.

Where: disposable private repo `heavy-duty/ceremony-drill-0.4.1` — a
different consumer from run 2's, archived at the end with the operator's
delete pending. Candidate ref
`cluade-reviewer-andresmgsl/ceremony@drill-0.4.1` (`f148255`), parent
`9a229ee`, its only extra commit rewriting both `CEREMONY_SELF_REF` carriers
to that SHA.

**Deviation, disclosed and not retired by run 2:** run 1's scratch repo was
flipped **public for roughly 8 minutes** to read job logs — Forgejo's web log
route 404s for a token-authenticated private repo and the `/api/v1` log
routes 404 outright — then restored to private and archived. That is a real
departure from `drills/README.md`'s "scratch **private** repo", and it stays
in the record. Run 2 did not repeat it: it read no logs at all, which is why
every run-2 row is a repository-state measurement.

| # | probe | run | result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | merge-door ceremony | 12 (and 7, at `0.4.1`) | ❌ **FAILED** — `decide` refused; no tag, no release, main left bare |
| 2 | `-dev` push no-op | 9, and the fixture push | ✅ green no-op, nothing created |
| 3 | bare version, no `release` label | — | ⚠️ not run independently; probe 1 refused through exactly this path, because the label fact read `no` |
| 4 | re-run of a completed ceremony | — | ⚠️ **not reachable** — no ceremony ever completed to re-run |
| 5 | tag door | 14 | ❌ **FAILED** — `gh: command not found` at *publish the release*; no release |
| 6 | mismatched tag | 16 | ✅ `tag '9.9.9' does not match the tree's version '0.4.2' — creating nothing` |

Root cause, both doors: `lib/facts.sh` and `release.yml` spoke `gh`, which
the runner image does not ship. `facts.sh` read *any* failure as a definite
`no`, so a missing binary silently demoted a release ceremony to "a bare
push". Release count across the whole of run 1: **0**.

## What changed between them

#191, merged as `fda5657`: both doors onto `lib/forge.sh`; a read that did
not complete refuses instead of fabricating a `no`; `forgejo_api_base`
refuses an empty `REPO` so `repos//…` cannot be addressed; release asset
names percent-encoded.

Every refusal path, in both runs, created nothing. That property never
broke — what broke was the doors' ability to say yes.